Cole Tollison

Week 10 Big Ten Picks

Last Week we went 3-5 ATS. That’s not ideal. Hopefully we can get back on track this week.

Odds were taken from Fanduel at the time of writing*

4 Ohio State (-3.5) at Penn State – 11:00 AM on FOX

Ohio State seems to be the hurdle PSU can’t seem to get over. But 3.5 is just too much. I think this is a tight game where either team wins by 3 or less. 

Pick – Penn State +3.5

Minnesota (-2.5) at Illinois – 11:00 AM on FS1

Brett Bielema has made a career out of beating Minnesota. The wrong team is favored, ILL-INI pulls the upset. 

Pick – Illinois +2.5 (Upset Special)

Northwestern (-1.5) at Purdue – 11:00 AM on BTN

Purdue is possibly the worst Power 4 team in FBS. NW wins comfortably. 

Pick – Northwestern -1.5

1 Oregon (-14.5) at Michigan – 2:30 PM on CBS

Michigan still can’t figure out who to play at QB. Oregon is a national title contender that continues to cover week after week. I see no reason for that trend to change. 

Pick – Oregon -14.5

Indiana (-7.5) at Michigan State – 2:30 PM on Peacock

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Wisco Wednesday: Do or Die vs The Hawkeyes

Take me down to Iowa City, where they drink Busch Light and the offense ain’t pretty. This will be a Battle of Backup QBs for the prestigious Heartland Trophy. Avert your eyes.

Looking Back 

Penn State – 28
Wisconsin – 13

Wisconsin was winning 10-7 at halftime. That feels like an eternity ago at this point. 

Wisconsin has played 3 “good” football teams at this point. Penn State, USC, and Alabama. All 3 were embarrassing. Alabama smoked the Badgers. And Wisco blew halftime leads against USC and Penn State. I guess that’s a sign of progress, but blowing leads makes me think this is a coaching issue. 

Wisconsin could not run the ball in the 2nd half, and that’s concerning. Is it on the OL? The play calling? Walker? Honestly, I have no idea. That’s something Longo and Fickell need to evaluate. If Wisconsin can’t run the ball, then getting even 1 more win will be difficult. 

I will say that the environment in Camp Randall was amazing. The students were a bit late (blame the university, not the kids), but the crowd was loud and standing for most of the game. 9/10, please have more night games in Madison. …

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Week 9 Big Ten Picks

Last Week we went 4-3 ATS and correctly called the Illinois upset of Michigan. Let’s see if we can do a bit better in week 9. 

Odds were taken from Fanduel at the time of writing*

Rutgers (+14) at USC – (Friday) 10:00 PM on FOX

USC is winning close and losing close. I don’t see a scenario where they win by more than 2 scores. Don’t let me down 2 weeks in a row Rutgers. 

Pick – Rutgers +14

Nebraska (+25.5) at 4 Ohio State- 11:00 AM on FOX

Ohio State is a juggernaut. Nebraska lost by 49 to Indiana last week. If Ohio State wants to, they’ll top that mark. 

Pick – Ohio State -25.5 

Washington (+6.5) at Indiana – 11:00 AM on BTN

Indiana’s starting QB is hurt, and I don’t care. They are more than just a QB, they are a great team. It helps that the backup is pretty good too. The Indiana wagon keeps rolling along. 

Pick – Indiana -6.5

20 Illinois (+21.5) at 1 Oregon – 2:30 PM on CBS

Oregon will absolutely win this game (probably). But 21 is a lot to win by, especially against an underrated, …

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Wisco Wednesday (a day late): Homecoming Week

After back-to-back road wins, Bucky is coming home. Is this team ready to compete with the number 3 Nittany Lions? Or will it be another splattering like the Bama game?

Looking Back 

Northwestern – 3
Wisconsin – 23

Three in a row. Wisconsin has stacked 3 dominant wins in 3 consecutive weeks. Albeit the competition was rather poor. But blowing out bad teams is a hallmark of the Wisconsin we’re used to from the last 30 years. 

The offense wasn’t as good as the couple of weeks prior, but the defense was elite, and special teams made some massive plays. Tawee Walker’s dominance continues with 23 carries for 126 yards (5.5 ypc). Overall the run game has grown exponentially since week 1 due to the development of the offense line. 

It’s not a stretch to say all 5 starters on the OL will be playing on Sundays in a couple of years. 

Another week, another vintage Wisconsin defense. In the last 3 games, they’ve given up 1 touchdown. The run D could be better (the D-line is still the biggest weakness on the team), but the secondary is so good they more than make up for it. 

Wisconsin is becoming …

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Week 8 B1G Picks

All the B1G games picked against the spread. Let’s see if Walk on Fan has any idea what we’re doing. 

Odds were taken from Fanduel at the time of writing*

2 Oregon (-27.5) at Purdue – (Friday) 7:00 PM on FOX

Oregon is coming off of a massive emotional win and has to travel across the country in a short week. Of course, I think the Ducks win, but 27.5 is too rich. Purdue covers, but Oregon wins 38-14

Pick – Purdue +27.5

Nebraska (+6.5) at Indiana – 11:00 AM on FOX

IMO – this is the hardest B1G game to pick this week. Indiana’s schedule is so soft it’s hard to tell if they are for real. I think Neraska’s defense is good enough to keep this game close, but Indiana’s offense is just too much. This feels like Indiana 23, Nebraska 14 to me.

Pick – Indiana -6.5

Wisconsin (-7.5) at Northwestern – 11:00 AM on BTN

Bucky is on a roll and Northwestern’s win last week was heavily dependent on turnovers. The Wildcats won despite being outgained by Maryland, and I think that’s a sign they aren’t very good. Wisconsin pounds NW 45-7.

Pick

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Wisco Wednesday: Are the Badgers Good Now?

Wisconsin has outscored their opponents 94-13 in the last 2 weeks. Do I give Fickell credit, or are Rutgers and Purdue just that bad?

Looking Back: 

Rutgers – 7
Wisconsin – 42

The Purdue win could’ve been a fluke, but 2 blowout wins in a row is a pattern. 

The most convincing part of this win for me is how similar it was to the Purdue win. Wisconsin might actually have an identity on offense.

Step 1: Run Tawee Walker a lot.
Step 2: Take deep shots to Vinny Anthony II and Trech Kekahuna
Result: 40+ points per game

Wisconsin had 500+ yards of offense against both Purdue and Rutgers. The last time the Badgers did that in back to back weeks was 2010 – A Rose Bowl Season

The defense has finally made some of the player substitutions I’ve been begging for. They probably aren’t “elite,” but they are much better than they were in weeks 1-3. Elijah Hills, Xavier Lucas, and Tackett Curtis are all on the field much more often. 

Another part of the winning formula that needs to be emphasized: penalties. Wisconsin is 3rd out of 134 teams …

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Wisco Wednesday: A Must Win Game

When was the last time Wisconsin lost to Purdue? Who should be on the field for Wisconsin?

Bench Seniors, Start Freshman and Transfers:

We are far enough into the season where I can use my eyes and tell that the coaches aren’t starting the best players. Maybe they are better in practice, but they haven’t been on Saturdays.

Ben Barten and Curt Neal are the DL starters. Elijah Hills (transfer) is better than both. He was by far the most disruptive against USC.

Jake Chaney stole the starting MLB spot from Meama Njongmeta last season. Njongmeta made an NFL roster in 2024 (Bengals); Chaney has been aggressively mediocre. Underclassmen Tackett Curtis played much better than Chaney when he filled in after Chaney’s ejection for targeting. Chaney should not have got his job back.

The other ILB spot currently belongs to transfer senior Jaheim Thomas. You don’t recognize that name because he hasn’t done anything. Sophomore Christian Alliegro has flashed in limited 3rd down action, and I’d give him a chance to take Thomas’s playing time. 

And now for the offense. At QB, it is what it is. Locke is a 50% completion guy. At WR, we have some decent slot …

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Wisco Wednesday: Going To LA

Is Locke ready for the bright lights of a sold out LA crowd? Does the bye week help Wisconsin at all? OR is conference play this year going to start very painfully?

Game Preview: USC

Wisconsin at #13 USC

Where: LA Memorial Coliseum

When: Saturday, 9/28 – 2:30 PM (CST)

How to Watch: CBS

Spread: USC -15.5

O/U: 50.5

USC Trojans Current Record: 2-1 
(Beat #14 LSU, Lost at #12 Michigan)

A revenge game for 3 Badgers:

3 members of the Wisconsin Badgers are USC transplants that will get to face their former team. First, we have CJ Williams, he was a high 4 star WR prospect who committed to USC out of high school. After 1 year in LA, he jumped ship to give the Dairy Raid a shot in Wisconsin. This is CJ’s second season in Mad Town and he’s currently WR4 on the depth chart. Second, we have LB Tackett Curtis. He started as a freshman last year at USC. Now he’s part of a revitalized LB group in Madison. He’s LB3 for now, but he played very well when Jake Chaney missed time for a targeting ejection. Curtis is a young player with a bright future. …

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Wisco Wednesday: Hot Seat Talk

Badger fans want everyone fired, let’s entertain that thought. Also, Wisconsin doesn’t look like a bowl team this year. Yikes. 

Looking Back: 

Alabama – 42
Wisconsin – 10

Saturday was pathetic. Fickell called it an ass whooping, I’d say he’s underselling how bad it was. 

Is Fickell on the hot seat?

Absolutely not. His buyout is 30 million dollars; who’s paying that? It’s like people don’t remember the damage Paul Chryst did to the program. Recruiting was down below Indiana and Rutgers levels for multiple years. In the era of the transfer portal, it is possible to turn around rosters quickly, but that likely isn’t going to work at Wisconsin. In the NIL era, Wisconsin is a relatively low budget school. Bucky can’t afford to pay high end transfers. Transfers can fill depth roles or help with weak spots, but the best players on the team are going to come through recruiting. Fickell’s 1st recruiting class was the 2nd best ever at Wisconsin, and some of those true freshmen are already playing. I feel comfortable saying Fick has until mid 2026 to figure this out. By then all the coach Chryst stink will be out of the program. 

Is Tressel

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Week 3 – Some Thoughts on Some Games

Rivalries in week 3? Only 1 ranked matchup.. on Saturday. And a traditional Rose Bowl game in primetime.

THE BEST RANKED VS RANKED GAME:
20 Arizona at 14 Kansas State

Friday Night Football for this non-con showdown between ranked Big 12 schools. Wait, did I read that right? Yes, despite both schools being in the same conference, this game will not count towards the league standings. This is because the game was scheduled before the realignment shenanigans. 

THE OTHER RANKED VS RANKED GAME:
24 Boston College at 6 Missouri

Florida State was ranked when they lost to Boston College, so now Boston College gets to be ranked. That’s a nice little prize. It won’t last long though, Mizzouri likely runs away with this one. 

ONE-SIDED RIVALRY GAMES:
9 Oregon at Oregon State
Washington State vs Washington (Seattle)
18 Notre Dame at Purdue

Big Ten rivalry week in *checks notes* … week 3. Historically these are games where the big brand crushes the little guy and moves on. But Oregon, Washington, and Notre Dame should all be on upset watch this week. ND did manage to blow it last week against Northern Illinois as a 28 point favorite. 

A

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