Tolly Predictions: What to Expect From the ACC

Who is winning the ACC? What will the order of finish be? Who is making a bowl game?

These will be my record predictions for the ACC. I will list every game for the predictions, but the primary takeaway should be the final record. We will also compare my predictions to the over/under win total for each team to see how the betting public feels about the ACC.

Predictions for Notre Dame and the bottom half of the ACC can be found here.

*Odds listed refer to O/U win totals taken from DraftKings at the time of writing

7th – Wake Forest – O/U win total: 6.5

Elon (Thursday) – W

Vanderbilt – L

At Old Dominion – W

Georgia Tech – W

Bye

At Clemson – L

At Virginia Tech – L

Pittsburg (HC) – L

Florida State – L

At Duke (Thursday) – W

NC State – W

At Notre Dame – L

At Syracuse – W

A very middle of the road ACC team is going to do middle of the road ACC things. Losing their QB to Notre Dame in the transfer portal will cause a step back in 2023.

Vanderbilt isn’t the automatic win Wake Forest thought they would be when they scheduled them. That week 2 game could determine bowl eligibility for those 2 schools.

Record: 6-6 (4-4)

Pick: Under 6.5

6th – Pittsburg – O/U win total: 6.5

Wofford – W

Cincinnati – W

At West Virginia – W

North Carolina – L

At Virginia Tech – W

Bye

Louisville (HC) – L

At Wake Forest – W

At Notre Dame – L

Florida State – L

Vs Syracuse (Bronx) – W

Boston College (Thursday) – W

At Duke – L

Pitt feels a little like Utah and Wisconsin to me. In the last several years, they have consistently done more with less.

It’s an interesting choice to play Syracuse in Yankee Stadium in week 12. Not sure I support it.

Record: 7-5 (4-4)

Pick: Over 6.5

5th – NC State – O/U win total: 6.5

UConn (Thursday) – W

Notre Dame – L

VMI – W

At Virginia (Friday) – W

Louisville (Friday) – W

Marshall – W

At Duke – L

Bye

Clemson (HC) – L

Miami – W

At Wake Forest – L

At Virginia Tech – W

North Carolina – W

Another ACC team that lost their QB to the transfer portal. Devin Leary is in Kentucky now. Despite the QB loss, this is still a good team. I feel pretty good about the Over hitting, and could even see them getting an upset win over ND or Clemson.

Record: 8-4 (5-3)

Pick: Over 6.5 – Hammer the Over

4th – North Carolina – O/U win total: 8.5

Vs South Carolina (Charlotte) – L

App State – W

Minnesota – W

At Pittsburg – W

Bye

Syracuse – W

Miami – W

Virginia – W

At Georgia Tech – W

Campbell – W

Duke (HC) – W

At Clemson – L

At NC State – L

North Carolina could be ranked very high late into the season. They have super fun non-conference games against South Carolina and Minnesota, but the race for the championship game will come down to that Clemson game in week 12. 

Don’t look too far ahead though, Pitt or Miami could beat UNC if they aren’t careful.

Record: 9-3 (6-2)

Pick: Over 8.5

T-1st – Louisville – O/U win total: 8.5

Vs Georgia Tech (Friday – Atlanta) – W

Murray State  (Thursday) – W

Vs Indiana (Indianapolis) – W

Boston College – W

At NC State (Friday) – L

Notre Dame – L

At Pittsburg – W

Bye

Duke (HC) – W

Virginia Tech – W

Virginia (Thursday) – W

At Miami – W

Kentucky – L

Disclaimer – I do not think Louisville is better than North Carolina.

This schedule is a mess with 2 neutral site games, 2 Friday games, and 2 Thursday games.

BUT – Louisville doesn’t play UNC, FSU, or Clemson. This is easily the most favorable schedule in the P5. 

I see Louisville going a lot further than people expect because of their schedule. They only play 3 true road games, and their toughest games are non-conference matchups.

Record: 9-3 (7-1)

Pick: Over 8.5

T-1st – Clemson – O/U win total: 9.5

At Duke (Monday) – L

Charleston Southern – W

Florida Atlantic – W

Florida State – W

At Syracuse – W

Wake Forest (HC) – W

Bye

At Miami – W

At NC State – W

Notre Dame – W

Georgia Tech – W

North Carolina – W

At South Carolina – L

I think a lot of people are rooting for Florida State to beat Clemson. It’s trendy to pick FSU over Clemson in week 4.

But, Clemson is at home and Clemson is the most talented team in the ACC.

I’m looking at week 1. Duke is good, their HC is good, and their QB is good. Clemson has new offensive and defensive coordinators. Expect a slow start, and a loss. Clemson fans would think the sky is falling if I’m right.

Record: 10-2 (7-1)

Pick: Don’t Bet – Too much unknown

T-1st – Florida State – O/U win total: 9.5

Vs LSU (Sunday – Orlando) – L

Southern Miss – W

At Boston College – W

At Clemson – L

Bye

Virginia Tech – W

Syracuse – W

Duke (HC) – W

At Wake Forest – W

At Pittsburg – W

Miami – W

North Alabama – W

At Florida – W

Florida State is a team on the rise. This is a simple prediction from me: they win the games they are supposed to win, and they get out talented by teams that have recruited better than them. 

Hopefully, the team doesn’t throw in the towel after 2 early losses, at Pitt could be tricky later in the season.

Record: 10-2 (7-1)

Pick: Over 9.5

Championship Matchup:

Three way tie at 7-1 – Florida State, Clemson, Louisville

This is a weird one. Intuition says Florida State and Clemson rematch. Right? Well, it’s college football, so nothing is intuitive.

Louisville hasn’t played Clemson or Florida State. That means we get pretty far down the tie breaker list before one can be applied to all 3 teams.

The tie breaker: record against common opponents

Miami

Duke

That’s the entire list.

FSU (2-0)

Louisville (2-0)

Clemson (1-1)

Clemson beats Florida State in the regular season but doesn’t get to go to the title game, all because of the Duke game. This could be a mess for playoff voters. 

ACC Championship Game: Florida State vs Louisville

Champion Pick: Florida State

Want more Walk On Fan? 

Check out this article where we predict every game for every team in the B1G East.

This article was written by Cole Tollison and edited by Hayden Breene

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