Tolly Predictions: The Big Ten

Who is winning the B1G? How many playoff caliber teams are there? These are our projections for the order of finish in the B1G this season. 

I have game by game predictions for every team, so these predictions are mathematically possible. I used the B1G tie breakers to get the order of finish… but there is a log jam at 3-6 in conference play that I struggled to figure out. We’ll just assume I got it right. 

Conference record shown in ().

Bottom Feeders

18th: Purdue 2-10 (1-8) 
17th: UCLA 3-9 (1-8)
16th: Northwestern 4-8 (2-7)
15th: Michigan State 5-7 (2-7)
14th: Illinois 5-7 (3-6) 

These are the bad teams. Will they all be bad? Doubtful. I’m probably underestimating at least one of these teams. That said, if your team plays one of these teams, you’d better win.  

Barely Bowl Teams

13th: Maryland 6-6 (3-6)
12th: Indiana 6-6 (3-6)
11th: Minnesota 6-6 (3-6)
10th: Washington 6-6 (3-6)

Bowl eligibility, that’s what we have here. That would be wildly over performing for Indiana, and a massive letdown for Washington.

Good But Not Great

9th: Rutgers 7-5 (5-4)
8th: USC 7-5 (5-4)
7th: Iowa 9-3 (6-3)
6th: Wisconsin 8-4 (6-3)
5th: Nebraska …

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